{"id":158474,"date":"2026-05-04T18:50:45","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T15:50:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/technical-analysis\/xlm\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T14:13:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T11:13:36","slug":"xlm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/cryptocurrency\/trading\/technical-analysis\/xlm\/","title":{"rendered":"XLM USDT Technical Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"

In addition to the XLM\u2019s technical analysis, pay special attention to the following metrics:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) reserves and expenses.<\/span> The SDF is a non-profit organization that controls a significant portion of all XLM (approximately 25\u201330 billion coins). The foundation publishes a quarterly \u201cSDF Mandate Report,\u201d which discloses balances and spending categories (Ecosystem Support, Use Cases, Operations). Large grant and marketing programs result in regular XLM sales on the market and put downward pressure on the price. A reduction in SDF spending and an increase in the share of XLM held in the fund\u2019s secure escrow wallets is a signal for the coin\u2019s growth.<\/li>\n
  2. Adoption in cross-border payments (MoneyGram, Tempo, and other partners).<\/span> Stellar was originally created as a network for low-cost international transfers. The volume of transfers via MoneyGram Access, integrations with banks and payment providers is a key non-speculative driver of demand for XLM. The more real transactions there are, the better for its price.<\/li>\n
  3. Stablecoins on Stellar (USDC, EURC, BRL, etc.).<\/span> Stellar is one of the networks officially supported by Circle for native USDC. The growth in the market capitalization of stablecoins on Stellar and the volume of transfers in them directly increases demand for XLM (due to fees, liquidity, and transactions on the built-in DEX). A decline in Stellar\u2019s share of USDC turnover relative to other networks could lead to a potential price drop.<\/li>\n
  4. Tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). <\/span>Franklin Templeton (FOBXX)<\/a>, a money market fund, is hosted on Stellar, as well as a number of projects from central banks and major issuers. The growth of TVL for tokenized assets on Stellar is a powerful long-term driver of demand. Historically, every major institutional placement has caused the price of XLM to rise by 10\u201325%.<\/li>\n
  5. Development of Soroban smart contracts.<\/span> Soroban is Stellar\u2019s smart contract platform, launched in 2024. The dynamics of TVL in DeFi on Soroban, the number of deployed contracts, and active dApps serve as an indicator of whether Stellar is succeeding in moving beyond a purely payment network. Increased activity on Soroban is a potential positive factor for the price of XLM.<\/li>\n
  6. The Anchors network and fiat gateways.<\/span> Anchors are licensed operators connecting fiat currencies to Stellar. The more active anchors there are across different currencies and jurisdictions, the broader the network\u2019s real-world adoption. The emergence of new anchors in major regions (Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin America) is a fundamental positive factor for price growth.<\/li>\n
  7. Active accounts, transaction volume, and DEX load. <\/span> Stellar Expert and Stellarchain show the daily number of active accounts, the number of transactions, and trading volumes on the built-in DEX. Increased activity amid a stable or rising price confirms fundamental demand for the coin.<\/li>\n
  8. Behavior of large holders. <\/span> The top 100 wallets (excluding SDF and exchanges) control a significant portion<\/a> of the coin\u2019s supply. Transfers from cold wallets to exchanges are a leading indicator of selling, while reverse flows signal accumulation and price growth. Tracked via Stellar Expert or Whale Alert.<\/li>\n
  9. Correlation with XRP and competition for the payments niche.<\/span> XLM and XRP have historically been perceived by the market as direct competitors in the cross-border remittances segment and often move in sync (with a correlation of 0.7\u20130.85<\/a>). Any regulatory news regarding XRP, the launch of an XRP ETF, or the expansion of Ripple Payments simultaneously impacts XLM as well.<\/li>\n
  10. Regulatory environment and institutional adoption.<\/span> Stellar is actively working with regulators (partnerships with central banks in Ukraine and the EU, CBDC projects). A clear regulatory stance and new institutional integrations are long-term positive factors for the coin. Strict restrictions on stablecoins or payment networks could sharply reduce demand for XLM and its price.<\/li>\n
  11. Correlation with BTC and the broader market. <\/span> Like most altcoins, XLM is heavily dependent on Bitcoin\u2019s performance. During alt season phases, XLM is capable of outperforming the market (especially on news of payment partnerships). Fed rate decisions and other macroeconomic news influence the price just as much as the network\u2019s own metrics.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    In addition to the XLM\u2019s technical analysis, pay special attention to the following metrics: Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) reserves and expenses. The SDF is a non-profit organization that controls a significant portion of all XLM (approximately 25\u201330 billion coins). The foundation publishes a quarterly \u201cSDF Mandate Report,\u201d which discloses balances and spending categories (Ecosystem Support, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"parent":158459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"template-ta-coin.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-158474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analysis-technical"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/93"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=158474"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":158717,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158474\/revisions\/158717"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/158459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=158474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=158474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonisation.pro\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=158474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}